Moving now into the Southeast Region, I will analyze a potential upset victim from that regional. Once again, the 4 seed versus the 13 seed matchup shows a glaring mismatch.
The upset victim here could be the Wisconsin Badgers. While critics can argue that the Atlantic Sun Conference is completely different from the Big Ten, one aspect is clear: Wisconsin has difficulty scoring points. Their inability to score was shown in their last game, a 36-33 loss to Penn State. This season, the Badgers rank 192nd nationally in points per game, and an ugly 299th in rebounds per game. These statistics show that the Badgers have difficulty scoring, and do not rebound their misses well to allow themselves opportunities for second-chance points.
They will face a Belmont Bruins squad which amassed a 30-4 overall record this season, including a one-point loss to a tournament team in Tennessee. Belmont has proved that they can play with the power schools. Also, the Bruins rank in the top 50 nationally in both points per game (11th) and field goal percentage (45th). The Bruins shoot over 46% from the floor, including 38% from beyond the arc. If the Bruins establish the tempo early in the game, Wisconsin could find themselves behind rather quickly. The Bruins do not fit the typical mold of a mid-major team in that they are comfortable matching team bucket for bucket rather than sticking with stifling defense to pull off an upset.
An aspect that could work against the Bruins is that their roster features only two seniors, but they possess the talent to potentially offset that statistic.
If the Bruins neutralize Badgers senior forward Jon Leuer, an upset is highly plauisble. If Leuer is taken out of Wisconsin's gameplan offensively, the Badgers will struggle to score and could see an early return to Madison.
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